Valencia return to Mestalla in high spirits after a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao kept their European ambitions firmly alive. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Che have been strong at home in recent weeks, winning three of their last five matches in front of their own fans and averaging 1.60 goals scored per game at Mestalla. While consistency has occasionally been an issue, Valencia’s defensive organisation has improved lately, and they head into this clash with no fresh injury concerns. Their recent home fixtures have also been more open, averaging 3.20 total goals per game.
Rayo Vallecano arrive equally motivated as they continue their own push for a European place. Los Vallecanos have collected an impressive 1.90 points per game from their last 10 matches and have won four of their previous five outings overall. However, their away form has been less convincing, with three defeats in their last five road games and only 0.80 goals scored per away match. Rayo will also be without influential winger Isi Palazon due to suspension, which could reduce their attacking creativity in a crucial encounter.
As both sides have been defensively solid in recent weeks, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Primera Division match will be played on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Duro @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Hugo Duro @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Abdul Mumin @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Valencia - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferValencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlldwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.22 | 1.54 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwdwww | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | lllww | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 2.07 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.26 | 1.60 |
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valencia (35%)
23 Matches
Rayo Vallecano (22%)
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Past Results
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