Hearts welcome Celtic to Tynecastle for a high-stakes Premiership derby, with the hosts sitting top of the table and aiming to protect their slim advantage. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. Derrek McInnes' side arrive in excellent form, taking 2.20 points per game at home and conceding just 0.60 goals per match at Tynecastle. However, they will be without Ageu, Nieuwenhof, Pollock and the suspended Beni Baningime, weakening their depth in central areas. Hearts’ defensive consistency — clean sheets in 40% of home games — remains a key strength.
Celtic, meanwhile, remain the league’s strongest attacking side statistically, averaging 3.40 goals per game overall and boasting an expected goals of 2.76 at home and 1.67 away. The title holders are unbeaten in four league games and seek to close the gap on Hearts. While Jota, Iheanacho and Johnston remain in recovery, the Hoops have shown resilience, taking 1.43 points per game away from home and scoring in all but one league trip.
Historically, Celtic dominate this matchup with 37 wins from the last 47 meetings, but Hearts’ current form and league position ensure a far more competitive derby than usual. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Sunday's derby, we are tempted to place our bets on Draw, alongside Half-Time Draw and Over 4.5 yellow cards.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Hearts vs Celtic prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hearts 1 - 1 Celtic
Hearts vs Celtic Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Tomas Cvancara @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Harry Milne @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferHearts Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 2.10 |
| Home | dwwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | dwwlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.70 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.45 |
Celtic Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwwd | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.67 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.57 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 2.00 | 2.76 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 0.79 | 1.80 |
Hearts vs Celtic Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hearts (15%)
47 Matches
Celtic (79%)
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