Tynecastle Park will host Saturday's Premiership game between Hearts and St. Mirren, with the Jambos aiming to turn their inconsistent run into another victory after sharing the spoils with Kilmarnock before the international break. Hearts registered 1.92 xG and 17 goal attempts in that 1-1 draw, and they have been particularly productive at home, averaging 2.60 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Defender Harry Milne is widely expected to return to the starting XI after coming off the bench last time out.
St. Mirren, on the other hand, are looking to bounce back from a 3-0 defeat to Dundee United, their third consecutive loss. The Saints have conceded 1.80 goals per game across their last 10 matches and have struggled to create consistently, averaging 1.22 xG on the road. Donnelly, Ramos, Baccus and Ayunga have all been struggling with injuries of late, leaving the visitors short of options. Hearts have also dominated this fixture historically, winning 16 of the previous 35 meetings.
Hearts’ stronger home record, attacking numbers and dominant H2H record make Hearts to Win the winner pick. Over 2.5 goals and Hearts Over 1.5 goals bets also seem tempting given the hosts’ 4.00-goal home average.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Hearts vs St Mirren prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hearts 3 - 1 St Mirren
Hearts vs St Mirren Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 130 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Elton Kabangu @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Elton Kabangu @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke Thomas @ -225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Hearts -1 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: St Mirren +3 @ -900 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Hearts to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Hearts to Win/Hearts to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Hearts - No @ -200 Odds
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View OfferHearts Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddwwwwld | 1.90 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.75 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
St Mirren Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwldwlll | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwdll | 1.17 |
| Away | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.60 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.80 |
Hearts vs St Mirren Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hearts (46%)
35 Matches
St Mirren (26%)
Hearts vs St Mirren Past Results
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