Kilmarnock welcome Aberdeen to Rugby Park with both sides dealing with key suspensions. Anyhow, a close encounter is on the cards and we predict the two teams will play out a 1-1 draw on Saturday afternoon. The Killie are without midfielder Tom Lowery after his red card in the heavy 4-0 defeat to Motherwell, while Aberdeen lose important defender Jack Milne, sent off in their chaotic 6-2 win over Livingston. Their form is deeply concerning: they have taken 0.30 points per game overall and an alarming 0.00 at home, losing all four recent home matches. Kilmarnock score just 0.5 goals per game at Rugby Park, while conceding 2.25, and their xGA at home stands at 1.71, suggesting continued defensive instability.
Aberdeen are far stronger at home than on the road, where they have lost all five recent away fixtures and scored only 0.2 goals per away match. However, the Dons' overall offensive output remains higher, averaging 1.1 goals per game, and their expected goals of 1.29 indicates they are creating more than Kilmarnock.
Historically, Aberdeen dominate this matchup with 31 wins from 44 meetings. Anyhow, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals as both sides have major scoring issues. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem appealing.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Aberdeen
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kevin Nisbet @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kevin Nisbet @ 550 Odds
- To be booked: Graeme Shinnie @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Kilmarnock +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferKilmarnock Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldll | 0.30 |
| Home | llll | 0.00 |
| Away | ldldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.00 | 1.71 | 2.19 |
Aberdeen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.00 |
| Home | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.80 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.76 | 1.21 | 2.31 |
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Kilmarnock (16%)
44 Matches
Aberdeen (70%)
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