Almeria will look to extend their winning run to five games when they take on Burgos in La Liga 2 round eight, with Los Rojiblancos also eyeing a fourth consecutive clean sheet. Both Cipenga and Dzodic are away on international duty, while Guedes, Rodrigo Ely and Rodriguez are likely to miss out through injury. Almeria produced 2.11 xG in their 1-0 victory over Mallorca and have been outstanding at home, winning all three matches while scoring 2.67 goals per game.
Burgos, on the other hand, are chasing a fourth consecutive La Liga 2 victory after edging past Eldense 1-0 at the weekend. Appin and Iribarne are away on international duty, while defender Sergio Gonzalez is expected to miss out with an injury. Los Burgaleses have also been difficult to beat recently, winning 50% of their last four away matches and conceding only 0.50 goals per game.
Considering Almeria’s perfect home record and splendid defensive form, we believe that punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Almeria to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (the hosts have conceded just 0.50 goals per game across their last 10 matches).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Almeria vs Burgos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Almeria 1 - 0 Burgos
Almeria vs Burgos Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Almeria -0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Burgos +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Almeria to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Almeria to Win/Almeria to Win @ 140 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Almeria - Yes @ 120 Odds
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View OfferAlmeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwllwwww | 2.10 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | lwwllww | 1.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 3.33 | 1.71 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.67 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.43 |
| BTTS | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.73 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.02 | 1.54 |
Burgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlddwww | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwdww | 2.17 |
| Away | wldw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.58 | 1.61 |
Almeria vs Burgos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Almeria (50%)
6 Matches
Burgos (33%)
Almeria vs Burgos Past Results
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