Almeria return home looking to respond after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Eibar, a result that extended their poor run of form. Given the attacking potentials of both sides, we predict a 2-2 draw. The Andalusians have collected just 1.00 point per game at home, while defensive instability continues to be an issue, conceding 1.50 goals per match at the Power Horse Stadium. Almeria have seen BTTS in 75% of their home fixtures and kept only one clean sheet all season. Injuries to Fidel Cedillo, Chumi, and Lopy further complicate their task, especially in defensive balance and midfield control.
Ceuta, meanwhile, are high on confidence following a 3-1 win over Cultural Leonesa and boast solid momentum with four wins in their last five. Their away record is less convincing, but they still average 1.00 PPG on the road and have scored in 75% of their away games. Offensively, they produce 1.25 goals per away match, and their xG away from home sits at 1.16, suggesting they can create chances even against stronger sides. However, three key injuries—Jamelli, Ortuno, and Sanchez—may impact their attacking depth.
With both teams regularly involved in high-scoring matches (Almeria 3.00 goals per game, Ceuta 2.80), another open contest is likely. As both sides average 2.8+ goals per match overall, we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Over 3.5 goals.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Almeria vs Ceuta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Almeria 2 - 2 Ceuta
Almeria vs Ceuta Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Almeria +0.5 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAlmeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Home | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.48 |
Ceuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.70 |
| Home | wdwlw | 2.17 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.33 |
Almeria vs Ceuta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Almeria (0%)
1 Matches
Ceuta (100%)
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