Almeria and Las Palmas face each other in Andalusian in what promises to be a high-stakes clash. As the hosts push for automatic La Liga promotion, we predict a 2-1 home win. Almeria come into this match in strong overall form with 1.9 points per game across their last 10 outings, and their home record has been outstanding, winning all of their last four at home while averaging a remarkable 5.0 goals per match. However, the suspension of midfielder Dion Lopy could slightly disrupt their midfield control in what is expected to be a fast-paced encounter.
Las Palmas travel to Andalusia in solid shape themselves, also averaging 1.8 points per game in their last 10 matches and showing impressive attacking consistency, particularly away from home where they score 1.0 goals per game but concede 2.6. La Union Deportiva have won three of their last five overall but remain vulnerable defensively on the road. Historically, this fixture has been fairly balanced, with Almeria holding a slight edge in recent meetings but eight of the last 18 clashes ending in draws. With both sides still chasing objectives, this should be an open and competitive game.
Given Almeris's fine home form and attacking potential, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Almeria’s home matches alone average 5 goals per game recently).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Almeria vs Las Palmas prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Almeria 2 - 1 Las Palmas
Almeria vs Las Palmas Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Leo Baptistao @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Almeria -0.5 @ -125 Odds
- European Handicap: Las Palmas +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Almeria to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Almeria to Win/Almeria to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Almeria - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferAlmeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwlwwwd | 1.90 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwllwd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 3.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 2.03 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.35 | 1.80 |
Las Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwwlwwwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 0.99 | 1.61 |
Almeria vs Las Palmas Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Almeria (39%)
18 Matches
Las Palmas (17%)
