What is our Burgos vs Ceuta prediction?
Burgos
1 - 0
Ceuta
Our prediction for this match: Burgos 1 - 0 Ceuta
Burgos vs Ceuta Preview
Burgos will be eager to turn their strong underlying numbers into three points when they take on Ceuta in La Liga 2 round 5. Sergio Francisco's men are winless in their last three after a goalless draw with Oviedo, despite recording 2.37 xG against ten men. Burgos have won 40% of their last 10 home matches, averaging 1.20 goals, while keeping clean sheets in 40%. Vencedor and Karrikaburu are both pushing for a starting berth.
Ceuta, meanwhile, are in worrying form, having lost their last four matches in all competitions and failing to score in each of their previous three. Defensive frailties have also been evident, with the visitors conceding 2.50 goals per away game across their last 10. Their away xG stands at just 0.57, suggesting another difficult attacking display could be on the cards. Albert Caparros is suspended after his red card against Celta Vigo B.
As Ceuta have lost four straight matches and concede 2.50 goals per away game, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Burgos to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (Burgos have seen only 1.70 total goals per game in their last 10).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Friday, 11 September 2026 at 19:30.
- League
- Segunda Division
- Kick-off
- Fri 11 Sep 2026, 19:30UK time
Burgos vs Ceuta Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Burgos 1-0 Ceuta | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Burgos | 1/5 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Burgos / Burgos | 7/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Burgos -0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Burgos +1 | 1/8 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Jon Karrikaburu | 6/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: Jon Karrikaburu | 9/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 12/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Burgos Clean Sheet: Yes | 1/1 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferBurgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwwlwldd | 1.60 |
| Home | dwlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.50 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1.49 |
Ceuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwlwllll | 1.00 |
| Home | dlwwll | 1.17 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.45 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.39 | 1.72 |
Burgos vs Ceuta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burgos (0%)
2 Matches
Ceuta (50%)
Burgos vs Ceuta Past Results
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