All eyes will be on Estadio El Plantio as Burgos host Deportivo La Coruna in a high-stakes clash between playoff contenders and promotion challengers. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Burgaleses are eager to hold onto a playoff spot after a 3-1 defeat to Castellon, with their recent form still strong at 2.00 points per game. They are particularly effective at home, taking 2.50 PPG with 75% win rate and conceding just 0.25 goals per game. Overall they average 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded, supported by strong defensive metrics including 60% clean sheets. However, Fer Nino is doubtful, which could limit their attacking threat.
Deportivo, meanwhile, are in excellent shape as they push for automatic promotion, coming off a 3-1 win over Mirandés and averaging 2.10 points per game. The Galicians are consistent both home and away, scoring 1.60 goals per game overall and 1.75 away, while conceding just 1.00 on average. Their matches tend to be more open than Burgos’, with 70% BTTS and a solid attacking xG of 1.50. David Mella is injured but not considered a major loss due to squad depth and recent attacking form.
Considering Burgos’ strong defensive home record and historical low-scoring H2H, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Burgos vs Deportivo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burgos 1 - 1 Deportivo
Burgos vs Deportivo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 450 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -211 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fernando Nino @ 210 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 500 Odds
- European Handicap: Burgos +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -225 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Deportivo La Coruna to Win @ 110 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Burgos - No @ -200 Odds
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View OfferBurgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdwwdwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | lwdwwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 0.99 | 1.19 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.36 |
Deportivo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwdwddw | 2.10 |
| Home | wlwwdw | 2.17 |
| Away | wwdd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.27 |
Burgos vs Deportivo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burgos (33%)
3 Matches
Deportivo (33%)
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