Ceuta return home looking to respond after a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Valladolid, though they at least avoided new injury setbacks. As los Caballas are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we predict a 2-1 home win. Both Jamelli and Sanchez remain sidelined for the hosts, but their absence is already factored into José Juan Romero’s structure. Ceuta’s home form has been strong, collecting 2.00 points per game with a 60% win rate, and their matches at Estadio Alfonso Murube average 2.8 goals. They score 1.40 goals per home match yet concede at the same rate, which explains why BTTS has landed in 60% of their home fixtures. Their expected goals profile at home (1.57 xG / 1.33 xGA) suggests they usually create slightly more than they allow.
Cultural Leonesa also head into this clash after a heavy defeat, losing 4-2 to Sporting Gijon, but without new injury concerns. Their overall form is weaker, taking just 1.10 PPG, and clean sheets are extremely rare (10% overall). Away from home, they average 1.33 PPG, but concede 2 goals per match, with 67% BTTS. You should bear in mind that Cuco Ziganda's men have suffered five defeats on the road so far this term.
Given Leonesa's ups and downs on the road (5-1-5) and Ceuta's fine home record, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Ceuta Over 1.5 goals and Ceuta to Score First.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Monday 26 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ceuta 2 - 1 Cultural Leonesa
Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marc Domenech @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCeuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwll | 1.40 |
| Home | wwdwl | 2.00 |
| Away | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.57 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
Cultural Leonesa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddll | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdll | 1.00 |
| Away | wld | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.57 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.56 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.41 | 1.83 |
Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ceuta (60%)
5 Matches
Cultural Leonesa (20%)
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