What is our Gijon vs Valladolid prediction?
Gijon
2 - 1
Valladolid
Our prediction for this match: Gijon 2 - 1 Valladolid
Gijon vs Valladolid Preview
Sporting Gijon are eager to return to winning ways in Segunda Division and with Valladolid struggling for form, we predict a 2-1 home win. Los Rojiblancos remain competitive, coming off a 1–1 draw with Albacete and posting strong home numbers: 1.80 PPG, 60% home win rate, and conceding just 1.20 goals per game at El Molinon. Their expected-goals metrics are steady as well (xG 1.52, xGA 1.21), suggesting a balanced, controlled approach. Injuries continue to trouble Sporting Gijon, with Cuenca, Curbelo, and Loum all ruled out again, but they should not be sorely missed.
Real Valladolid travel to Asturias in poor form after a heavy 5–1 loss to Granada, and will miss suspended defender Clement Michelin, further weakening a back line already conceding 2.20 goals per match. Valladolid have lost four of their last five and worryingly score only 1.00 goal per game, failing to find the net in 50% of their fixtures. Their away record offers slight improvement (1.00 PPG), but defensive issues remain (2.50 conceded away).
H2H history favours Valladolid, who have won 9 of the last 16 meetings, but current form strongly tilts the momentum toward the hosts. As La Pucela do not seem to be at their sharpest, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Sporting Gijon to Score First and Over 1.5 goals.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday, 22 February 2026 at 13:00.
- Competition
- Segunda Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Feb, 13:00UK time
Gijon vs Valladolid Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreGijon 2-1 Valladolid | 550 | |
| Double Chance12 | -300 | |
| Draw No BetSporting Gijon | -225 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 375 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 100 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 125 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1600 | |
| Clean SheetSporting Gijon: No | -188 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerJuan Otero | 162 | |
| First GoalscorerJuan Otero | 450 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferGijon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwllwwlwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wllww | 1.80 |
| Away | wlwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.21 | 1.42 |
Valladolid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldlwllll | 0.70 |
| Home | ldll | 0.25 |
| Away | wllwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.13 | 1.88 |
Gijon vs Valladolid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Gijon (25%)
16 Matches
Valladolid (56%)
Gijon vs Valladolid Past Results
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