Granada and Burgos square off against each other in what is expected to be a tightly contested Segunda Division clash, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. The hosts are stuck in mid-table after a narrow 1-0 defeat in the Andalusian derby against Cordoba, with little left to play for. Therefore, motivation could be an issue for Granada, although their home form has been relatively solid, averaging 1.75 points per game across their last 10 matches. The Andalusians also score regularly at home, netting an average of 2.0 goals per game, but defensive stability remains a concern, conceding 1.7 per match overall. The suspension of defender Loic Williams further weakens their back line.
Burgos travel to Andalusia with far greater incentive as they look to close in on the playoff places. They are unbeaten in four of their last five matches and boast one of the more disciplined defensive records in the league, conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their last 10 outings. Their away form has also been steady, losing just once in their last five on the road while maintaining consistent results. However, Burgos are not prolific in attack, averaging just 1.0 goal per away match, which could limit their ability to fully capitalise. Historically, Granada have had the upper hand, with Burgos yet to record a win in this fixture.
Considering Burgos’ strong defensive record and limited attacking potential, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Granada vs Burgos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Granada 1 - 1 Burgos
Granada vs Burgos Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fernando Nino @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Fernando Nino @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Granada +0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Granada +1 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Burgos - No @ -188 Odds
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View OfferGranada Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwllwllwl | 1.30 |
| Home | dwwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wlllwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.20 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.49 | 1.44 |
Burgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwdwwlddd | 1.70 |
| Home | wdwdd | 1.80 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.38 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.25 | 1.38 |
Granada vs Burgos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Granada (40%)
5 Matches
Burgos (0%)
