What is our Granada vs Malaga prediction?
Granada
1 - 1
Malaga
Our prediction for this match: Granada 1 - 1 Malaga
Granada vs Malaga Preview
Granada and Malaga face off in an intense Andalusian derby with both sides chasing very different objectives. Anyhow, we predict a 1-1 draw as both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach. Los Granadinos are looking to escape the danger zone after a disappointing 2-1 loss to Ceuta, and they go into this clash with just one absentee: defender Pau Casadesus. Their home numbers are mixed, collecting 1.33 points per game at Los Carmenes, but their 1.60 xG at home shows they consistently create chances. However, defensive concerns remain, with Granada conceding 1.33 goals per home match.
Malaga, meanwhile, continue to push toward the playoff places and arrive in excellent form. Los Boquerones beat Albacete 1-0 at the weekend and, crucially, report no new injury worries. Their overall form stands at 2.40 points per game, and they are perfect at home, though their away numbers remain strong as well with 1.80 PPG and 1.80 goals scored per away match. Málaga’s attack has been more efficient, reflected in their 1.50 xG away and only 1.20 goals conceded.
Given aforementioned statistical data, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip (BTTS at 52% H2H and both sides averaging 1.5+ goals scored), alongside Over 4.5 yellows cards and Over 1.5 yellow cards first half as a tense Andalusian derby is on the cards.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 17:30.
- Competition
- Segunda Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 28 Feb, 17:30UK time
Granada vs Malaga Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreGranada 1-1 Malaga | 500 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -150 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 350 | |
| Asian HandicapMalaga +0.5 | -149 | |
| European HandicapMalaga +1 | -150 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 100 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | -167 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -500 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1600 | |
| Clean SheetGranada: No | -200 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerGonzalo Petit | 162 | |
| First GoalscorerGonzalo Petit | 450 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
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View OfferGranada Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddwwllwl | 1.10 |
| Home | lddwlw | 1.33 |
| Away | lwll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.60 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.41 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwlwlw | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.01 | 1.77 |
Granada vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Granada (38%)
21 Matches
Malaga (29%)
Granada vs Malaga Past Results
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