Las Palmas return to Gran Canaria after a 1–1 draw with Real Sociedad B and with Burgos missing important defender, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite inconsistent overall form (1.30 PPG), Las Palmas' home displays remain solid with 1.60 PPG, scoring 1.60 goals per match and keeping 40% clean sheets. Their matches lean toward BTTS (60% at home), but their xG (1.33) and xGA (1.24) suggest fairly balanced performances rather than chaotic games. Importantly, no fresh injury worries allow Luis Garcia to maintain continuity in his lineup.
Burgos travel to the Canary Islands in good spirits after a 2–1 win over Leganes, but the absence of key defender Florian Miguel (suspended) is a major blow for a side that already concede 2.00 goals per game away and have 0% clean sheets on the road. Their away attack is modest (0.67 goals scored per match), and they have failed to score in 67% of away games, relying heavily on home form for their points tally.
Historically, Burgos dominate this matchup with 2 wins and 3 draws from 5, all low-scoring, and not a single H2H BTTS so far. Given La Union Deportiva's home strength and Burgos’ defensive issues without Miguel, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Under 2.5 goals and Las Palmas to Win to Nil bets seem appealing due to low-scoring previous meetings.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Las Palmas 1 - 0 Burgos
Las Palmas vs Burgos Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Taisei Miyashiro @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Taisei Miyashiro @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Las Palmas -0.5 @ -115 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 150 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Las Palmas to Win @ -300 Odds
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View OfferLas Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlld | 1.30 |
| Home | wdwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | ldwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.24 | 1.50 |
Burgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | dwlww | 1.86 |
| Away | wll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.18 | 1.48 |
Las Palmas vs Burgos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Las Palmas (0%)
5 Matches
Burgos (40%)
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