What is our Las Palmas vs Castellon prediction?
Las Palmas
1 - 1
Castellon
Our prediction for this match: Las Palmas 1 - 1 Castellon
Las Palmas vs Castellon Preview
Castellon will look to retain top position in Segunda Division standings when they face Las Palmas on Matchday 27, but with La Union Deportiva being tough to beat at home, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. UD Las Palmas look to reinforce their playoff position despite a long injury list, with Alex Suarez, Garcia, Ramirez, and Recoba all sidelined. Their recent form is unstable with three straight draws, and they are averaging 1.20 points per game both overall and at home. Las Palmas score 1.20 goals per match, but their home defensive record is respectable, conceding just 0.60 on average and keeping 60% clean sheets at Estadio Gran Canaria. Their xG (1.51) shows they create enough to threaten even top sides.
League leaders CD Castellon travel to the Canary Islands full of confidence after a convincing 2-0 win over Deportivo. With Barri and Doue banned, they lose two important pieces, but their overall momentum remains strong: 2.30 points per game, a flawless 100% home record, and a solid 1.60 away PPG. Castellón concede just 0.60 goals per away match, backed by an impressive xGA of 0.97, showing why they sit at the top.
As both sides are strong defensively, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 20:00.
- Competition
- Segunda Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 21 Feb, 20:00UK time
Las Palmas vs Castellon Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreLas Palmas 1-1 Castellon | 500 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -200 | |
| Draw No BetLas Palmas | -125 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 375 | |
| Asian HandicapCD Castellon +0.5 | -200 | |
| European HandicapCD Castellon +1 | -200 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -120 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | -143 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Clean SheetLas Palmas: No | -275 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerTaisei Miyashiro | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerTaisei Miyashiro | 450 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferLas Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwdllddd | 1.20 |
| Home | dwdld | 1.20 |
| Away | dwldd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.15 | 1.29 |
Castellon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwdwdwww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wlddw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 1.07 | 0.97 |
Las Palmas vs Castellon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Las Palmas (33%)
6 Matches
Castellon (50%)
Las Palmas vs Castellon Past Results
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