What is our Las Palmas vs Ceuta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Las Palmas 2 - 1 Ceuta
Las Palmas vs Ceuta Preview
UD Las Palmas and AD Ceuta FC meet in an important clash in the race for the playoff spots. As La Union Deportiva have turned their Estadio de Gran Canaria into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. Las Palmas are brimming with confidence after an impressive 3-0 win over Cultural Leonesa, where they controlled the match from start to finish. However, the hosts will be without Sergio Barcia and Marvin, both suspended, which could slightly weaken their defensive options. Statistically, Las Palmas average 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per match, while both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Ceuta also come into the fixture on a positive run, winning three of their last five matches and defeating CD Mirandes 1-0 last weekend. Their games tend to be very open, producing 3.40 goals on average, with the team scoring 1.70 but also conceding 1.70 per game. The visitors will miss Aisar Ahmed through suspension, while forward Kuki Zalazar remains doubtful after picking up a knock.
As Las Palmas are a strong home side despite aforementioned suspensions, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals (Ceuta matches average 3.40 goals) and Both Teams to Score markets (70% H2H) seem appealing.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday, 8 March 2026 at 13:00.
- Competition
- Segunda Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 8 Mar, 13:00UK time
Las Palmas vs Ceuta Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreLas Palmas 2-1 Ceuta | 750 | |
| Double Chance12 | -400 | |
| Draw No BetLas Palmas | -500 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeLas Palmas / Las Palmas | 150 | |
| Asian HandicapLas Palmas -0.5 | -167 | |
| European HandicapLas Palmas +1 | -700 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 110 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -300 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 105 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Clean SheetLas Palmas: No | -138 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerTaisei Miyashiro | 110 | |
| First GoalscorerTaisei Miyashiro | 333 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 162 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Las Palmas vs Ceuta?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLas Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdllddddw | 1.40 |
| Home | wdldd | 1.20 |
| Away | wlddw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.20 | 1.25 |
Ceuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwllwww | 1.80 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.51 | 1.71 |
Las Palmas vs Ceuta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Las Palmas (0%)
1 Matches
Ceuta (0%)





