Malaga and Almeria lock horns in the first leg of the Segunda Division playoffs final, with an intense Andalusian derby expected at La Rosaleda. Given the attacking potential of both sides, we predict a 2-2 draw. Los Boquerones booked their place in the final by eliminating Las Palmas and head into the clash in good spirits. Malaga have won six of their last ten matches in all competitions, averaging 2.1 goals per game during that spell. They have been particularly reliable in attack, scoring in each of their last ten outings, while 70% of those matches saw both teams get on the scoresheet. Boss Juan Funes has no fresh injury concerns, which should allow him to field his strongest possible side.
Almeria, meanwhile, eliminated Castellon in a thrilling semi-final tie and arrive in Malaga determined to secure a positive result ahead of the return leg. The visitors have won five of their last ten matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored per game. Their matches have been highly entertaining lately, with both teams scoring in 80% of their previous ten fixtures and an average of 3.8 total goals per game. Adrian Embarba picked up a knock in the semi-finals, but he is expected to be available.
Malaga have a 70% BTTS rate in their last ten matches, while Almeria boast an even higher 80%. Therefore, Both Teams to Score is our main betting option for this Andalusian derby, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Malaga or Draw (fine home record).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Malaga vs Almeria prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Malaga 2 - 2 Almeria
Malaga vs Almeria Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferMalaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwwwdwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwdd | 1.60 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.92 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.37 |
Almeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwdllwdw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | lwdld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.84 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.33 | 1.86 |
Malaga vs Almeria Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Malaga (29%)
21 Matches
Almeria (43%)
Malaga vs Almeria Past Results
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