Malaga face Ceuta in what is expected to be an exciting Segunda Division game with 2-1 our predicted outcome. Los Boquerones head into the game with a mixed injury situation, as key midfielder David Larrubia limped off in their recent 3-1 win over Sporting Gijon. Despite this, the home side have been scoring freely, averaging 3.10 goals per game overall and 3.50 at home, though they’ve conceded 1.50 on average. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their home matches, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities. Their expected goals of 1.56 suggest they create plenty of chances, even if finishing isn’t always clinical.
The newcomers, on the other hand, travel to Andalusia in decent form, averaging 2.60 goals per game and with midfielder Jamelli back from suspension. Their away record is less impressive, with just 0.80 points per game, but they have scored in 60% of their road matches. Both teams have seen BTTS in their last two H2H clashes, making goals likely. There are no fresh injury concerns in the visiting team.
Considering that both sides have strong scoring stats, Over 2.5 goals market boasts big value alongside BTTS. Home Win bet should also be considered due to Malaga's home advantage and better form.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Malaga vs Ceuta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Malaga 2 - 1 Ceuta
Malaga vs Ceuta Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Eneko Jauregui @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMalaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwww | 1.50 |
| Home | dwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | ldlww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.48 |
Ceuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddww | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
Malaga vs Ceuta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Malaga (0%)
2 Matches
Ceuta (50%)
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