Valladolid vs Castellon Prediction & Betting Tips | 08/02/2026

Valladolid vs Castellon Prediction and Betting Tips | 8 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

7 February 2026 • 18:04 UTC • 1 min read

Valladolid vs Castellon Prediction and Betting Tips 8 February 2026

As both Valladolid and Castellon are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Sunday's game, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. La Pucela find themselves unexpectedly in the relegation zone, sitting 17th, and host second-placed Castellon in a match that could have major implications for both sides. Valladolid’s season has been turbulent, earning just 0.80 points per game and failing to win any of their home matches this season, scoring only 0.50 goals per game at home. Defensive issues are evident as they concede 1.00 goal per home match, and both Bueno and Ndiaye are sidelined, while Juric is banned, further weakening their midfield and attack.

Castellon, meanwhile, are chasing automatic promotion and bring excellent form into this clash, with 2.30 points per game overall and a perfect 3.00 PPG at home. They have been defensively solid, conceding just 0.60 goals per match, although they will be without Brignani and Mellot due to suspensions. Valladolid will struggle to contain their high-pressing visitors, who score 1.80 goals per match on average.

As Valladolid’s attack struggles and Castellon are efficient but cautious, there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.

This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 13:00.

What is our Valladolid vs Castellon prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Valladolid 1 - 1 Castellon

Valladolid vs Castellon Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Vegard Erlien @ 140 Odds
First Goalscorer: Vegard Erlien @ 450 Odds
Asian Handicap: Valladolid +0.5 @ -160 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -163 Odds
Draw No Bet: Valladolid to Win @ 120 Odds

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Valladolid Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlwll	0.80
Home	dldl	0.50
Away	wllwl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	1.50	3.17
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	1.50	1.00	1.83
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	17%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.38	1.35
Expected Goals Against	1.44	1.07	1.69

Castellon Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwdw	2.30
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	wwldd	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	100%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.80	2.00
Scored	1.80	2.40	1.20
Conceded	0.60	0.40	0.80
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	50%	60%	40%
Failed to Score	30%	0%	60%
Expected Goals	1.70	1.74	1.66
Expected Goals Against	1.03	1.05	1.01