Avellino return home looking to get back on course after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Spezia, but they must cope without key defender Lorenco Simic, whose suspension weakens an already shaky back-line. As both sides look sharp, we predict a 1-1 draw. I Lupi have taken just 1.00 PPG at home and concede 1.80 goals per match at the Partenio, with 0% clean sheets in front of their fans. Offensively, they score 1.20 goals at home, but their overall expected goals (1.09) suggests chance creation remains inconsistent.
Cesena also suffered a setback in their 2-1 loss to Bari, with defender Massimiliano Mangraviti suspended as a result. Despite this, the Bianconeri head into the match with stronger overall numbers: 1.40 PPG, 40% win rate, and a more balanced scoring profile ( 1.20 goals scored, 1.10 conceded ). Their away return ( 1.00 PPG ) is modest, but they concede fewer than Avellino on average and hold a superior H2H record, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings.
With both defenses missing key pieces, this matchup could open up more than usual. Taking everything into account, Over 1.5 goals bet should be considered (80% of H2H games cleared this line), alongside BTTS and Draw (small stake).
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Avellino vs Cesena prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Avellino 1 - 1 Cesena
Avellino vs Cesena Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cristian Shpendi @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cristian Shpendi @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Avellino +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAvellino Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwll | 0.90 |
| Home | lddwl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.83 | 1.44 |
Cesena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.67 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.67 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.39 |
Avellino vs Cesena Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Avellino (20%)
10 Matches
Cesena (50%)
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