Monza vs Avellino Prediction & Betting Tips | 08/02/2026

Monza vs Avellino Prediction and Betting Tips | 8 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

7 February 2026 • 16:19 UTC • 1 min read

Monza vs Avellino Prediction and Betting Tips 8 February 2026

Monza continue their promotion push when they host mid-table Avellino, entering this clash on the back of a 2-1 win over Padova and averaging a strong 2.20 points per game at home. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Avellino 2-0 on Sunday afternoon. At Brianteo, the Biancorossi have scored 2.20 goals per match while conceding just 0.80, a balance that explains their 60% home win rate. Their attacking metrics also impress, with a 1.58 xG average at home, although defensive depth is weakened by the injuries to Antov and Forson.

Avellino sit 12th in the table and remain inconsistent, taking 1.20 points per game overall. Their attack struggles away from home, scoring just 0.50 goals per match, while generating only 0.96 xG. Defensively they are slightly more stable on the road, conceding 0.75 goals on average, but I Lupi have failed to score in 50% of away games. The absence of Favilli, Insigne, and Kumi further limits their offensive options.

Monza have won only one of the last four H2H meetings, but current form and home numbers clearly lean their way. Given Monza's stronger home form and higher scoring rate, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Monza to Win to Nil as Avellino’s away attack is weak.

This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 14:00.

What is our Monza vs Avellino prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Monza 1 - 0 Avellino

Monza vs Avellino Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 120 Odds
First Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 375 Odds
Asian Handicap: Avellino +1.5 @ -191 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
Draw No Bet: Monza to Win @ -550 Odds

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Monza Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wldww	1.80
Home	wdwdw	2.20
Away	dlwlw	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.00	2.60
Scored	1.70	2.20	1.20
Conceded	1.10	0.80	1.40
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.55	1.58	1.52
Expected Goals Against	1.44	1.45	1.43

Avellino Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwllw	1.20
Home	ddwlw	1.33
Away	wldl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	3.17	1.25
Scored	1.10	1.50	0.50
Conceded	1.30	1.67	0.75
BTTS	60%	83%	25%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	25%
Failed to Score	30%	17%	50%
Expected Goals	1.08	1.17	0.96
Expected Goals Against	1.66	1.77	1.50