Padova will look to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 loss at Palermo when they host Modena in this Serie B round 19 clash. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. The hosts will be without Bacci and Lasagna due to injuries, but their overall squad is mostly intact. Padova have struggled at home this season, collecting just 0.80 points per game on average, scoring 1.00 goal per match while conceding 1.40. They’ve seen both teams score in 80% of their home games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
The Canarini, on the other hand, are flying to Veneto with a full squad and are slightly more consistent on the road, averaging 1.00 points per away game with 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 conceded. Over the last 16 meetings between these sides, Modena hold a slight advantage with seven wins to Padova’s five, while four games ended in draws. Interestingly, only 25% of their H2H clashes saw both teams score, suggesting low-scoring outcomes are possible.
Given both teams’ low scoring and conservative styles, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time draw.
This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Padova vs Modena prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 1 - 1 Modena
Padova vs Modena Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Pedro Mendes @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddldd | 0.80 |
| Away | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.59 |
Modena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwll | 1.10 |
| Home | wdlll | 1.17 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.23 | 1.01 |
Padova vs Modena Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (31%)
16 Matches
Modena (44%)
Parma
Juventus
