Palermo aim to extend their strong home form as they return to Stadio Renzo Barbera, where they have collected an impressive 2.00 PPG and won 60% of their matches. Despite Padova's promising away record, our prediction points toward a 2-0 home win as Palermo have turned their stadium into a real fortress. Their attacking numbers at home are among the best in the league, averaging 2.40 goals scored with an xG of 1.66, while defensively they remain disciplined with 60% clean sheets. Even though their last two outings ended in draws, the Sicilians have looked the more consistent side overall, dominating key metrics in recent weeks. The hosts will, however, be without Diakite and Bani, both suspended, though squad depth softens the blow.
Padova travel in solid shape, unbeaten in four and showing a surprisingly strong away profile with 2.00 PPG on the road. Their defensive record away from home stands out—only 0.60 goals conceded on average—while they’ve won 60% of their away matches. Despite modest attacking output (1.00 goals scored on average), Padova compensate with structure and resilience. The visitors come into this clash with no fresh injury worries after drawing 1-1 with Sampdoria.
As Palermo are a real force to be reckoned with at home, Home Win is our main betting tip for this match, alongside Under 3.5 goals (83% H2H) and Palermo to Score First.
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 16:15.
What is our Palermo vs Padova prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Palermo 2 - 0 Padova
Palermo vs Padova Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ -105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPalermo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwd | 1.50 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.16 | 1.55 |
Padova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwd | 1.40 |
| Home | ddldd | 0.80 |
| Away | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.67 | 1.72 |
Palermo vs Padova Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Palermo (83%)
6 Matches
Padova (0%)
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