Spezia and Empoli face each other in a highly-anticipated relegation six-pointer. As the Bianconeri are determined to escape the relegation zone, we predict a 1-0 home win. Spezia have shown mixed form at home, winning 40% of home games and scoring 1.2 goals per match, but conceding the same number. BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches, and clean sheets are rare at 20%, highlighting defensive fragility. The hosts are struggling with injuries to Cassata, Sarr, and Zurkowski, while Mateju remains doubtful after missing the 3-0 loss to Modena. However, they have strength in depth.
Empoli arrive on the back of a 2-2 draw with Mantova but are struggling overall, with no wins in their last five games. Their away form is particularly poor, winning none of their matches and conceding 2.6 goals per game. Despite this, the Azzurri tend to score in 80% of away games, and BTTS occurs in 80%, showing attacking threat even on the road. Historically, H2H clashes have produced many draws (8/14), but goals are limited, with only 29% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
Taking everything into account, we predict a narrow home win for Spezia, with betting tips: Home Win, Under 2.5 Goals, and Spezia to Score First.
This Serie B match will be played on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Spezia vs Empoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Spezia 1 - 0 Empoli
Spezia vs Empoli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gabriele Artistico @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gabriele Artistico @ 600 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Spezia 0 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Spezia +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Spezia to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Spezia to Win/Spezia to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Spezia - Yes @ 200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Spezia vs Empoli?
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View OfferSpezia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddlwldwl | 1.20 |
| Home | wdllw | 1.40 |
| Away | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.17 | 1.72 |
Empoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlldddlld | 0.50 |
| Home | dlddd | 0.80 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.80 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.06 | 1.76 |
Spezia vs Empoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Spezia (21%)
14 Matches
Empoli (21%)
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