Spezia play Modena in Serie B, where control of the midfield and strong defending could decide the match. Therefore, our prediction points toward a hard-fought 1-0 home win. The Bianconeri have picked up 1.20 points per game this season, with a 30% win rate and an average of 1.20 goals scored per match. Spezia have been solid at the back, conceding 1.20 goals per game, and keeping clean sheets in 30% of matches. Midfielder Francesco Cassata is suspended after collecting his fifth yellow card, potentially weakening their central control.
The Canarini, on the other hand, head into Saturday's clash with no fresh injury concerns and a full squad available. They have collected 1.30 points per game overall, scoring 1.10 goals on average and conceding just 0.80, showing solid defensive organization, especially at home where they win 60% of matches. Historically, these sides are closely matched, with six of their last 14 meetings ending in draws. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their encounters, suggesting both teams can find the net but not prolifically.
Given aforementioned statistical data, we predict that one goal is going to separate the two sides. Therefore, Home Win, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets are worth considering.
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 14:00.
What is our Spezia vs Modena prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Spezia 1 - 0 Modena
Spezia vs Modena Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Pedro Mendes @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSpezia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlww | 1.20 |
| Home | llddw | 1.00 |
| Away | dwllw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.20 | 1.58 |
Modena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddll | 1.30 |
| Home | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 1.82 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.08 |
Spezia vs Modena Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Spezia (36%)
14 Matches
Modena (21%)
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