Stadio Olimpico be the centre of attention when AS Roma and Fiorentina face each other in a decisive clash for Roma's European ambitions. The Giallorossi boosted confidence with a 2-0 win over Bologna but remain inconsistent, averaging 1.2 points per game across their last 10 matches. They score 1.8 goals per game but concede the same amount, highlighting defensive fragility. Injuries to Pellegrini, Ferguson, and Dovbyk, plus Kone’s doubt, reduce their attacking depth.
Fiorentina travel to the Eternal City in stronger form, collecting 2.1 points per game in their last 10 and conceding just 0.9 goals on average. The Viola are also solid away (2.0 PPG), though doubts over Moise Kean could limit their attacking sharpness. H2H trends favour goals, with 59% BTTS and 59% over 2.5 in meetings, while Roma’s home xG (1.73) and Fiorentina’s away xG (1.12) suggest a balanced contest.
Given strong H2H scoring trend, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside BTTS, and Roma to Win (Giallorossi want this win more).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 2 - 1 Fiorentina
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Gianluca Mancini @ 137 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina +1.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Roma to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Roma to Win/Roma to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Roma - No @ -163 Odds
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View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllwlwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | dlwwd | 1.60 |
| Away | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.73 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.65 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwlwwdd | 2.10 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.68 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.68 |
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (56%)
41 Matches
Fiorentina (27%)
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Past Results
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