What is our AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction?
AS Roma
2 - 1
Fiorentina
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 2 - 1 Fiorentina
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Preview
Stadio Olimpico be the centre of attention when AS Roma and Fiorentina face each other in a decisive clash for Roma's European ambitions. The Giallorossi boosted confidence with a 2-0 win over Bologna but remain inconsistent, averaging 1.2 points per game across their last 10 matches. They score 1.8 goals per game but concede the same amount, highlighting defensive fragility. Injuries to Pellegrini, Ferguson, and Dovbyk, plus Kone’s doubt, reduce their attacking depth.
Fiorentina travel to the Eternal City in stronger form, collecting 2.1 points per game in their last 10 and conceding just 0.9 goals on average. The Viola are also solid away (2.0 PPG), though doubts over Moise Kean could limit their attacking sharpness. H2H trends favour goals, with 59% BTTS and 59% over 2.5 in meetings, while Roma’s home xG (1.73) and Fiorentina’s away xG (1.12) suggest a balanced contest.
Given strong H2H scoring trend, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside BTTS, and Roma to Win (Giallorossi want this win more).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday, 4 May 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Mon 4 May, 19:45UK time
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreAS Roma 2-1 Fiorentina | 750 | |
| Double Chance12 | -500 | |
| Draw No BetRoma | -500 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeRoma / Roma | 137 | |
| Asian HandicapFiorentina +1.5 | -191 | |
| European HandicapFiorentina +2 | -200 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -106 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -350 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -125 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -700 | |
| Clean SheetRoma: No | -163 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerDonyell Malen | 105 | |
| First GoalscorerDonyell Malen | 350 | |
| To be BookedGianluca Mancini | 137 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 162 |
Where Can You Place Bets on AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
You can place your bets on AS Roma vs Fiorentina at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllwlwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | dlwwd | 1.60 |
| Away | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.73 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.65 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwlwwdd | 2.10 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.68 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.68 |
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (56%)
41 Matches
Fiorentina (27%)
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Fleetwood
Arsenal
Venezia
Inter
Milan
Bologna
Man City
Brighton
Genoa
Juventus
Liverpool
Chelsea
