AS Roma will be aiming to make a flying start to their Serie A campaign when they face Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico. The Giallorossi have enjoyed some ups and downs in preseason, but have won 60% of their last 10 matches, scoring an impressive 2.30 goals per game. The club chiefs have completed a permanent deal with Donyell Malen and also brought in Bologna striker Santiago Castro, while Nahuel Molina and Konstantinos Koulierakis should strengthen the defence. Roma also looked sharp under Gian Piero Gasperini last season, which definitely suits our betting angle.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, head into the game after a convincing 4-1 Coppa Italia win over Benevento. Oulai, Atta, Pellegrino, Fabbian and Vieri are among the new arrivals, giving the Viola plenty of fresh options. Fiorentina have won 40% of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.40 goals per game. However, Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 24 of the previous 42 meetings, which is one of the main reasons why we are not tempted to bet on the visiting team.
Roma boast a strong H2H record and have added several high-profile players to the squad in the summer transfer window. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Roma Over 1.5 and Over 1.5 goals total (This landed in 35 of the previous 42 meetings).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:45.
What is our AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 2 - 1 Fiorentina
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Dodo dos Santos @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina +1.5 @ -267 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Roma to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Roma to Win/Roma to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Roma - No @ -188 Odds
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View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwdlwld | 2.00 |
| Home | ww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwdlwld | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.13 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.88 |
| BTTS | 50% | 0% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.66 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.69 | 1.38 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdwlwddw | 1.60 |
| Home | ddwdw | 1.80 |
| Away | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.14 | 1.65 |
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (57%)
42 Matches
Fiorentina (26%)
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Past Results
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