What is our Atalanta vs Napoli prediction?
Atalanta
2 - 1
Napoli
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 2 - 1 Napoli
Atalanta vs Napoli Preview
With both Atalanta and Napoli chasing a Champions League spot, this matchup at the Gewiss Stadium carries huge weight. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Antonio Conte's men do not seem to be at their sharpest. The Orobici return home after a 2-0 Champions League defeat to Borussia Dortmund but have no fresh injuries. However, both De Ketelaere and Raspadori remain sidelined. Atalanta have been excellent in Bergamo, collecting 2.40 points per game, winning 80% of home matches, and scoring 2.6 goals per game. Defensively, they look solid too: 60% home clean sheets and only 0.8 conceded.
Napoli travel north after a dramatic 2-2 draw with AS Roma, but defender Amir Rrahmani and midfielder Frank Anguissa are both doubtful. The Partenopei’s away numbers show inconsistency: just 1.25 PPG, conceding 2.0 goals per game, and 0% clean sheets away from home. BTTS hits in 75% of their away matches, and their defence has been unstable under pressure.
As Atalanta's home form is too strong and Napoli struggle at the back, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside BTTS (Napoli away BTTS 75%, H2H at 62%) and Over 2.5 goals (62%).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 22 February 2026 at 14:00.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Feb, 14:00UK time
Atalanta vs Napoli Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreAtalanta 2-1 Napoli | 900 | |
| Double Chance1X | -250 | |
| Draw No BetAtalanta | -125 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeAtalanta / Atalanta | 333 | |
| Asian HandicapAtalanta 0 | -122 | |
| European HandicapAtalanta +1 | -250 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -111 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 120 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Clean SheetAtalanta: No | -275 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerGiacomo Raspadori | 175 | |
| First GoalscorerGiacomo Raspadori | 500 | |
| To be BookedMarten de Roon | 275 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 175 |
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwldwwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.94 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdllwwdd | 1.40 |
| Home | dwlwdd | 1.50 |
| Away | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
Atalanta vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atalanta (38%)
37 Matches
Napoli (46%)
Atalanta vs Napoli Past Results
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