Bologna vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips | 08/02/2026

Bologna vs Parma Prediction and Betting Tips | 8 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

4 February 2026 • 09:45 UTC • 1 min read

Bologna vs Parma Prediction and Betting Tips 8 February 2026

Bologna host Parma in a regional derby that could play out tighter than recent scorelines suggest. Therefore, we predict that the two teams are going to play out a 1-1 draw at Stadio Renato Dal'Ara. The hosts are coming off a disappointing 3-0 defeat to AC Milan, extending their poor run to just 0.90 PPG overall and an alarming 0.40 PPG at home, where they have yet to win. Despite this, Bologna's matches are usually open, averaging 3.30 goals per game, with BTTS landing in 70% of their fixtures. Their expected goals of 2.04 at home suggests they are creating enough but failing to convert.

Parma, on the other hand, head into Sunday's game after a heavy 4-1 loss to Juventus, and with Suzuki, Ndiaye, and Frigan all doubtful, attacking depth may be an issue. Still, the visitors perform better on the road (1.60 PPG, 40% win rate) and concede just 1.20 goals per away match. Their low scoring output—only 0.80 goals per away game—may hold them back, but their 40% clean-sheet rate shows defensive resilience.

Historically, Bologna slighty edge the matchup with 7 wins from 20 meetings, though draws (45%) have been the most common outcome. As Parma struggle to score and Bologna are inefficient in attack, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.

This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 11:30.

What is our Bologna vs Parma prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Bologna 1 - 1 Parma

Bologna vs Parma Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Thijs Dallinga @ 130 Odds
First Goalscorer: Thijs Dallinga @ 400 Odds
To be booked: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia @ 160 Odds
Asian Handicap: Parma +1 @ -154 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -600 Odds

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Bologna Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldlwl	0.90
Home	dlldl	0.40
Away	ldwlw	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	0%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	2.80	3.80
Scored	1.40	0.80	2.00
Conceded	1.90	2.00	1.80
BTTS	70%	60%	80%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	20%
Failed to Score	20%	40%	0%
Expected Goals	1.71	2.04	1.39
Expected Goals Against	1.27	1.17	1.37

Parma Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wddll	1.20
Home	lwldl	0.80
Away	wdwdl	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	1.80	2.00
Scored	0.60	0.40	0.80
Conceded	1.30	1.40	1.20
BTTS	30%	20%	40%
Clean Sheets	40%	40%	40%
Failed to Score	50%	60%	40%
Expected Goals	1.19	1.24	1.13
Expected Goals Against	1.77	1.93	1.61