Cagliari face Napoli in a Serie A game where Napoli aim to consolidate their Champions League position. With key players returning for the Partenopei, we predict a 2-1 away win. The Rossonlu are relatively safe in the table, six points above the relegation zone, but will miss defender Adam Obert, who is suspended after a red card. Their home form is decent: 1.40 points per game, winning 40% of home matches, scoring 1.20 goals per game and conceding just 0.80. Expected goals at home sit at 0.96, indicating that Cagliari rely on defensive stability and opportunistic attacking.
Napoli return with a near-full squad. Anguissa and De Bruyne are back from injury, and Politano has recovered from a minor knock. Napoli boast strong form: 1.70 points per game overall, scoring 3.40 goals per game, and conceding 1.70, with BTTS at 90%, reflecting their attacking style. Expected goals are 1.37 overall, showing efficient chance creation. As before, former Man Utd striker Rasmus Hojlund will lead the line for the reigning champions.
Given Napooli's dominant H2H record and superior squad depth, our prediction firmly points toward Away Win, with additional value on Over 1.5 (75% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (50%).
This Serie A match will be played on Friday 20 March 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Cagliari vs Napoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Cagliari 1 - 2 Napoli
Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Alessandro Deiola @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Napoli -0.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Cagliari +2 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Napoli to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Napoli to Win/Napoli to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Napoli - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Cagliari vs Napoli?
You can place your bets on Cagliari vs Napoli at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferCagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwllddll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwddlwww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwddww | 1.83 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.33 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.49 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
Cagliari vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cagliari (6%)
32 Matches
Napoli (63%)
Man City
Liverpool
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Chelsea
Port Vale
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Southampton
Arsenal
