Cremonese head into this relegation six-pointer under huge pressure after a heart-breaking 2-1 loss to Lecce. As Fiorentina will not have a better chance than this to escape the relegation zone, we predict a 1-0 away win. Collocolo is ruled out for the hosts, while Moumbagna and Baschirotto remain doubtful, further weakening a side that has failed to score in 70% of recent matches and has 0 wins across their last five. At home, Cremonese average just 0.60 PPG, scoring 0.40 goals per match, despite a decent xG of 1.34, showing a clear lack of end product.
Fiorentina look slightly more stable despite inconsistency. Parisi is suspended, but the visitors still arrive with stronger momentum (WWLLD). Their away record is solid at 1.50 PPG, scoring 1.50 per match, and their defensive numbers (1.50 conceded) are far better than Cremonese’s. Viola's xG (1.18 away) suggests they create enough to trouble a struggling opponent. Key attacker Moise Kean remains doubtful.
Historically, Fiorentina dominate this matchup, winning 4 of the last 5 H2H games. With Cremonese unable to convert chances and lacking confidence, the Viola head into this clash as deserved favourites. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Serie A clash, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Over 26.5 fouls (relegation six-pointer).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Cremonese vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Cremonese 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Cremonese vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Federico Ceccherini @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Fiorentina to Win/Fiorentina to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - Yes @ 150 Odds
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View OfferCremonese Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllldlll | 0.30 |
| Home | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.93 | 1.85 | 2.01 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldwwwlld | 1.10 |
| Home | lldwld | 0.83 |
| Away | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.62 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
Cremonese vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cremonese (0%)
5 Matches
Fiorentina (80%)
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