What is our Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Preview
Fiorentina take on Sassuolo at Stadio Artemio Franchi in what promises to be an entertaining Serie A clash. As Fiorentina have been in a much better form than Sassuolo, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Viola are looking to return to winning ways after a 1-1 draw with Lecce, but their overall form is impressive (2.10 PPG), with a solid defensive record of just 0.90 goals conceded per game. However, the absence of suspended defender Marin Pongracic could slightly disrupt their back line.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, have been inconsistent (1.60 PPG) but dangerous going forward, especially in open matches. The Neroverdi average 2.90 total goals per game, with BTTS landing in 70% overall and 100% away. Domenico Berardi remains suspended, which is a big attacking blow, though Josh Doig returns to strengthen the defense.
Considering Fiorentina's better form and home advantage, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Fiorentina Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (74% H2H).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 26 April 2026 at 11:30.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 26 Apr, 11:30UK time
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreFiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo | 750 | |
| Double Chance12 | -300 | |
| Draw No BetFiorentina | -275 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeFiorentina / Fiorentina | 200 | |
| Asian HandicapFiorentina 0 | -267 | |
| European HandicapSassuolo +2 | -334 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -143 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -111 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Clean SheetFiorentina: No | -225 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerMoise Kean | 137 | |
| First GoalscorerMoise Kean | 450 | |
| To be BookedPedro Felipe dos Santos | 187 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferFiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwdwlwwd | 2.10 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.50 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.14 | 1.68 |
Sassuolo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwlldwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | wldl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.05 | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.76 | 1.86 | 1.62 |
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Fiorentina (39%)
23 Matches
Sassuolo (35%)





