Fiorentina take on Torino in a Serie A clash where squad freshness could prove decisive. As Il Toro are hit by suspensions, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Viola come into this game after a narrow 2-1 loss at Napoli but have no new injury concerns, with only Tyriq Lamptey still sidelined. Despite three defeats in their last four, Fiorentina remain reliable at home with 40% home win rate and an impressive 3.20 average goals per game in Florence. Their matches also tend to be open, with 80% BTTS at home and an xG of 1.82.
Torino, meanwhile, earned a 1-0 win over Lecce but face severe rotation challenges after a demanding Coppa Italia match against Inter midweek. Il Toro will also be without key midfielders Nikola Vlasic and Matteo Prati, both suspended. Away from home Torino have been competitive, picking up 1.80 PPG and scoring 1.40 goals per game, but their xGA of 1.37 suggests they can be exposed.
Historically, Fiorentina hold the edge with 13 wins from the last 31 meetings, and 74% of those fixtures produced over 1.5 goals. Given Viola's home strength and Torino's suspensions, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as (both sides average above 2.5 goals per game).
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Fiorentina vs Torino prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Torino
Fiorentina vs Torino Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 400 Odds
- To be booked: Ivan Ilic @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -400 Odds
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View OfferFiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.40 |
| Away | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.28 | 1.79 |
Torino Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllw | 1.50 |
| Home | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Away | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.67 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
Fiorentina vs Torino Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Fiorentina (42%)
31 Matches
Torino (16%)
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Osasuna
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Bournemouth
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Newcastle
Atalanta
Napoli
Crystal Palace
Wolves
