What is our Genoa vs AS Roma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Genoa 1 - 2 AS Roma
Genoa vs AS Roma Preview
Genoa return to action after a 2-0 defeat to Inter, and the hosts may again be without key attackers Otoa and Baldanzi. Given Roma's fine performance in a 3-3 draw with Juventus, we predict a 2-1 away win. The Rossoblu remain strong at home, averaging 2.00 points per game and scoring 2.40 goals per match at the Luigi Ferraris. Their expected goals at home (1.40 xG) also underline a consistently productive attack. However, defensive concerns remain, as they concede 1.20 goals on average, while their overall 1.62 xGA shows vulnerability against top-six opponents.
Roma travel north in good spirits with both Paulo Dybala and Stephan El Shaarawy back from injury, a major boost for Gian Piero Gasperini. The Giallorossi have collected 1.60 PPG overall, and although their away average of 1.25 PPG is modest, they are defensively reliable on their travels, conceding just 1.00 goal per away match. Their 1.29 xG away suggests consistent chance creation even outside Rome. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team which supports our betting angle.
Considering Romas' better squad availability and dominant H2H record, Away Win is our main betting pick for this Serie A clash, alongside Over 1.5 (76% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (59%).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 8 March 2026 at 17:00.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 8 Mar, 17:00UK time
Genoa vs AS Roma Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreGenoa 1-2 AS Roma | 850 | |
| Double Chance12 | -275 | |
| Draw No BetRoma | -250 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeRoma / Roma | 225 | |
| Asian HandicapGenoa +1.5 | -417 | |
| European HandicapGenoa +2 | -450 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 110 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -200 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 150 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -2000 | |
| Clean SheetRoma: No | -163 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerDonyell Malen | 175 | |
| First GoalscorerDonyell Malen | 450 | |
| To be BookedJohan Vasquez | 120 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 162 |
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View OfferGenoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdwlldwl | 1.30 |
| Home | dwwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
AS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwddlwdwd | 1.60 |
| Home | lwdwwd | 1.83 |
| Away | wdld | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.72 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.03 | 0.95 | 1.15 |
Genoa vs AS Roma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Genoa (18%)
34 Matches
AS Roma (68%)





