Genoa and AC Milan square off at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a match with far greater importance for the visitors, who are still chasing a Champions League place. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 away win. Genoa enter the game on a three-match winless streak, but with survival already secured there is little pressure on the hosts. Their recent numbers suggest a lack of attacking sharpness, scoring only 0.8 goals per game across the last 10 matches while failing to score in 60% of those fixtures. Still, the Rossoblu can be competitive at home, where they average 1.0 goal per game and often keep matches tight defensively.
Milan travel to Genoa eager to bounce back from a frustrating 3-2 defeat to Atalanta. The Rossoneri remain inconsistent, but their motivation is significantly higher as they continue battling for a top-four finish. Suspensions to Pervis Estupinan, Rafael Leão, and Alexis Saelemaekers reduce attacking options, yet Milan still possess enough quality and structure to control large spells of the match. Defensively they remain fairly solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per away game recently.
Given Milan's greater motivation and superior squad quality, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Milan to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (both teams have low recent scoring averages).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:30.
What is our Genoa vs Milan prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Genoa 0 - 1 Milan
Genoa vs Milan Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Christian Pulisic @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Christian Pulisic @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Wedtoin Ouedraogo @ -138 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Genoa +1.5 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Genoa +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AC Milan to Win/AC Milan to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AC Milan - Yes @ 120 Odds
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View OfferGenoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwwldd | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlwdd | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.40 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.06 | 1.52 |
Milan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwllwdll | 1.30 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.48 | 1.21 |
Genoa vs Milan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Genoa (21%)
34 Matches
Milan (56%)
Genoa vs Milan Past Results
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