Genoa look to steady their mid-table position as they welcome third-placed Napoli in a fixture that historically favours the visitors. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 away win. The Rossoblu come off a 3-2 loss to Lazio, but there are no fresh injury worries, and their home form remains respectable with 1.40 points per game and a 40% win rate. Genoa’s matches are usually lively, averaging 2.80 goals, while their 70% BTTS rate overall highlights both attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Their xGA of 1.83 also underlines how frequently they allow high-quality chances.
Napoli continue their push toward the top two after a 2-1 win over Fiorentina, though they’ll be without key defender Giovanni Di Lorenzo. Despite some inconsistency, Antonio Conte's men maintain solid numbers: 1.60 points per game, 40% clean sheets, and a steady scoring output of 1.40 goals per match. Their xG of 1.58 and xGA of 1.11 reflect better balance compared to Genoa. Historically, Napoli dominate this matchup with 19 wins from 33 meetings and 58% over 2.5 goals in H2H clashes.
Considering Napoli's dominant H2H record and stronger underlying metrics, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Away Win. Additionally Napoli Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total markets seem tempting as 58% of H2H encounters have featured 3 or more goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Genoa vs Napoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli
Genoa vs Napoli Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Romelu Lukaku @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Johan Vasquez @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Napoli 0 @ -286 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Napoli to Win @ -300 Odds
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View OfferGenoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwl | 1.20 |
| Home | lldww | 1.40 |
| Away | wlddl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.59 | 2.06 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdllw | 1.60 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.59 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 1.23 | 0.99 |
Genoa vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Genoa (15%)
33 Matches
Napoli (58%)
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