Inter and AS Roma go head to head at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a highly-anticipated Serie A derby, with the Nerazzurri aiming to stay top after a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina. As key striker is back for Inter, we predict a 2-1 home win. Cristian Chivu's men average 1.50 points per game across their last 10, with strong attacking numbers—1.60 goals scored and a high 1.92 xG. At home, the league leaders produce 3.00 total goals per match and have scored in every game (0% failed to score). Defensively solid as well (1.00 conceded), Inter look balanced. Left-back Carlos Augusto is banned, but top scorer Lautaro Martinez returns from injury, boosting their frontline significantly.
Roma, meanwhile, travel to Milano after a 1-0 win over Lecce, keeping them in the Champions League race, but their away form is a major concern—just 0.40 points per game and no wins in the last five on the road. The Giallorossi score 1.70 per match overall but drop to 1.00 away, while conceding 1.60. Their 80% BTTS rate away highlights open games. All Dovbyk, Dybala, Wesley, and Kone injured for Roma, limiting their attacking options despite solid overall xG (1.38).
Given Inter's stronger form and home advantage, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (74% H2H), and BTTS (Roma games are open).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Inter vs AS Roma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Inter 2 - 1 AS Roma
Inter vs AS Roma Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Tie - AS Roma +1 @ 275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Inter vs AS Roma?
You can place your bets on Inter vs AS Roma at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferInter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlwdldd | 1.50 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | wlwdld | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.92 | 2.24 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.98 | 1.06 | 0.92 |
AS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwdldllw | 1.20 |
| Home | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Away | ldldl | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.89 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.49 |
Inter vs AS Roma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Inter (40%)
42 Matches
AS Roma (29%)
