Inter Milan aim to bounce back from their Derby della Madonina defeat, still holding firm at the top of the table. As Atalanta experienced all sorts of problems in a 6-1 Champions League loss to Bayern Munich, we predict a 1-0 home win. Lautaro Martinez remains sidelined for the hosts, while Alessandro Bastoni and Hakan Calhanoglu are both doubtful. Even so, Inter’s home numbers suggest stability—2.25 points per game, 75% home win rate, and 1.25 goals conceded at home. Their xG at San Siro (2.14) underlines their ability to control matches despite missing key players.
Atalanta travel to Milan low on confidence after a bruising 6-1 Champions League loss to Bayern Munich. The Orobici may also be without Scalvini, Ederson, and Raspadori—three important contributors. Their away form has been shaky, taking just 1.00 point per game and scoring 1.25 goals on the road while conceding 1.50. Historically, Inter dominate this matchup with 18 wins from 35 and tend to find solutions against Atalanta’s man-oriented press.
With both sides dealing with doubts but momentum heavily favouring the league leaders, Inter should have enough to edge it. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Atalanta lacking confidence, Inter missing Lautaro).
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Inter vs Atalanta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Inter 1 - 0 Atalanta
Inter vs Atalanta Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marcus Thuram @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Marcus Thuram @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atalanta +1.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Atalanta +2 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Inter Milan to Win @ -550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Inter Milan - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Inter vs Atalanta?
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View OfferInter Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwlwlwdl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wwlwdl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 2.14 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.93 | 1.12 | 0.81 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwlddl | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwwdl | 2.17 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.79 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.18 |
Inter vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Inter (51%)
35 Matches
Atalanta (17%)
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