What is our Lazio vs Atalanta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 1 Atalanta
Lazio vs Atalanta Preview
Lazio host Atalanta in a clash of top-table Serie A sides. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched ahead of Saturday's encounter, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Biancocelesti are missing Alessio Romagnoli due to suspension, with Mario Gila doubtful, which could weaken their defense. Their recent form has been mixed (1.4 PPG), with home form weaker (1.0 PPG) and just 40% clean sheets at home. They score 1 goal per game but concede 1.8 at home, highlighting defensive fragility.
Atalanta travel to "The Eternal City" in strong form, unbeaten in their last three (2.0 PPG) and boosted by the return of de Roon and Ahanor from suspension. Their away form is less dominant (1.25 PPG) but defensively solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on the road. The Orobici have the edge in scoring ability (1.7 goals per match overall) and clean sheets (50% away).
Head-to-head, these teams have traded wins: Lazio with 40% H2H wins and Atalanta with 37%. Given Atalanta’s disciplined defense and Lazio’s low-scoring home record, Under 2.5 goals market should be considered. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem interesting.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday, 14 February 2026 at 17:00.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sat 14 Feb, 17:00UK time
Lazio vs Atalanta Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance1X | -150 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 375 | |
| Asian HandicapLazio +0.5 | -154 | |
| European HandicapLazio +1 | -150 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1400 | |
| Clean SheetAtalanta: No | -225 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerGiacomo Raspadori | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerGiacomo Raspadori | 450 | |
| To be BookedMarten de Roon | 162 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 175 |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddldwldwd | 1.40 |
| Home | dldlw | 1.00 |
| Away | wdwdd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.23 | 1.86 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdlwldww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwlwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wdld | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.33 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.84 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.76 |
Lazio vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (40%)
35 Matches
Atalanta (37%)





