Lazio (9th) welcome Genoa (13th) in Serie A round 23 looking to respond after a frustrating goalless draw with Lecce. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. Maurizio Sarri remains without Gigot, Patric and Rovella, weakening an already inconsistent side whose home record has dipped: only 1.00 PPG at the Olimpico and just 17% home win rate. Lazio score only 0.67 goals per home match and have failed to net in 50% of their league outings in Rome.
Genoa, on the other hand, are brimming with confidence with momentum after a dramatic 3-2 win over Bologna, where both Malinovskyi and Junior Messias scored off the bench and now push for starting spots. The Rossoblu are generally solid, taking 1.20 PPG overall, though their away return sits at 1.00 PPG. Genoa see BTTS in 60% of all league games and average 2.70 total goals per match, significantly higher than Lazio’s 1.60.
Historically, Lazio hold the edge with 19 wins from 36 H2H meetings, but Genoa remain competitive, winning 12 of those clashes. As Lazio home games average just 2.0 goals and with Genoa being more cautious away, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Friday 30 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lazio vs Genoa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 1 - 1 Genoa
Lazio vs Genoa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Petar Ratkov @ 225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 450 Odds
- To be booked: Johan Vasquez @ 105 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Genoa +0.5 @ -154 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwld | 1.40 |
| Home | ddldl | 1.00 |
| Away | wdwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.33 | 0.25 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.51 |
Genoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | lldww | 1.40 |
| Away | lwldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.92 | 1.59 | 2.25 |
Lazio vs Genoa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (53%)
36 Matches
Genoa (33%)
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