Lazio aim to build on a 2-1 win over Sassuolo, but with Milan brimming with confidence following a triumph over their bitter rivals Inter, we predict a 1-0 away win. Lazio have been mixed of late at their Stadio Olimpico (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.40 goals while conceding 2.00. Their expected goals (xG 1.37 vs xGA 1.26) suggest moderate attacking potential, though defensive lapses have been costly. Both Rovella and Gigot are out of contention with injuries for the Biancocelesti.
Milan travel to Eternal City in strong form, unbeaten in five (WDLWW), with a 1-0 win over Inter boosting Scudetto ambitions. Away form has been excellent, with 2.33 PPG, scoring 2.00 goals and conceding 0.67 per match. Milan’s xG (1.20 vs xGA 1.68 away) shows efficient attack and solid defense on the road, though they miss Rabiot (suspension) and Loftus-Cheek (injury). Rafael Leao should keep his place up front despite failing to impress in the Derby della Madonina.
Historically, Milan have the edge in H2H clashes, winning 19 of the last 43 meetings. Lazio’s home confidence may help, but Milan’s clinical finishing and defensive stability make them favorites. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Serie A derby, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Over 3.5 yellow cards.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lazio vs Milan prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 0 - 1 Milan
Lazio vs Milan Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Christian Pulisic @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Christian Pulisic @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Strahinja Pavlovic @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lazio +1.5 @ -334 Odds
- European Handicap: Lazio +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AC Milan to Win/AC Milan to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AC Milan - Yes @ 125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lazio vs Milan?
You can place your bets on Lazio vs Milan at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwddldldw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Away | ddddl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.37 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.26 | 1.69 |
Milan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwdwwdlww | 2.10 |
| Home | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Away | dwdwww | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.68 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 0.97 | 1.68 |
Lazio vs Milan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (26%)
43 Matches
Milan (44%)
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