Lazio host Parma in a Serie A clash where the home side look statistically stronger despite inconsistent recent form. As the Biancocelesti have turned their Stadio Olimpico into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. Lazio have taken 1.60 points per game across their last 10 matches, with a solid 60% home win rate and 3.00 total goals per game at the Olimpico. The capital club average 1.30 goals scored and concede 1.20, while their expected goals (1.17) suggest slightly modest attacking output compared to results. All Gigot, Rovella, Provedel, and Zaccagni injured for Lazio, while Gila, Basic, and Cataldi are major doubts.
Parma arrive with just 1.20 points per game and a low scoring average of 0.70 goals, though their away form (1.40 PPG, 40% win rate) offers some resistance. Defensively, they concede 1.60 per match, and their xGA of 1.50 highlights ongoing vulnerability. Head-to-head heavily favors Lazio, winning 16 of 23 meetings, with 78% of clashes going over 1.5 goals. Troilo is banned for Parma, which supports our betting angle.
Given Lazio's stronger home numbers and H2H dominance, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (78% H2H) and Lazio Over 1.5.
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lazio vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lazio 2 - 1 Parma
Lazio vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 130 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Daniel Maldini @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Daniel Maldini @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lazio 0 @ -267 Odds
- European Handicap: Parma +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lazio to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lazio to Win/Lazio to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lazio - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Lazio vs Parma?
You can place your bets on Lazio vs Parma at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddldldwww | 1.60 |
| Home | wldww | 2.00 |
| Away | dddlw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.35 | 1.72 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwwwddll | 1.20 |
| Home | dlwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwwdl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.89 |
Lazio vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lazio (70%)
23 Matches
Parma (13%)
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Everton
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
Man City
Arsenal
Juventus
Bologna
