What is our Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction?
Lecce
1 - 1
Fiorentina
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Lecce vs Fiorentina Preview
Lecce face a must-win situation as they take on Fiorentina on Monday evening, with the hosts desperate to end a four-game losing streak and climb out of the relegation zone. However, we predict a 1-1 draw as Fiorentina have been showing signs of improvement of late. Lecce’s recent form has been poor, averaging just 0.90 points per game, with major issues in attack as they score only 0.80 goals per match and fail to score in 50% of games. At home they show slight improvement (1.00 scored), but still concede heavily (1.75). Injuries to Camarda, Gaspar, and Berisha further weaken an already struggling side, while Sottil remains doubtful.
Fiorentina travel with stronger momentum after a 1-0 win over Lazio, posting 1.70 points per game. The Viola are particularly effective away from home, averaging 1.80 points per game and scoring 1.40 goals per match. Despite defensive vulnerabilities (1.40 conceded), they offer more attacking quality than Lecce. The potential absence of Moise Kean could reduce their cutting edge, but overall squad depth remains superior.
Head-to-head meetings are fairly balanced, though generally low-scoring, with just 33% going over 2.5 goals. Given low-scoring H2H trend, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday, 20 April 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Mon 20 Apr, 19:45UK time
Lecce vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreLecce 1-1 Fiorentina | 500 | |
| Double Chance1X | -143 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 375 | |
| Asian HandicapLecce +0.5 | -138 | |
| European HandicapLecce +1 | -143 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -106 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | -163 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1400 | |
| Clean SheetFiorentina: No | -200 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRoberto Piccoli | 187 | |
| First GoalscorerRoberto Piccoli | 500 | |
| To be BookedRolando Mandragora | 175 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Lecce vs Fiorentina?
You can place your bets on Lecce vs Fiorentina at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwllll | 0.90 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwllll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.41 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwdwlww | 2.00 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.14 | 1.62 |
Lecce vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (40%)
15 Matches
Fiorentina (33%)
Lecce vs Fiorentina Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Sassuolo
Lazio
Fleetwood
Arsenal
Venezia
Inter
Milan
Bologna
Man City
Brighton
Genoa
Juventus
