Lecce face a must-win situation as they take on Fiorentina on Monday evening, with the hosts desperate to end a four-game losing streak and climb out of the relegation zone. However, we predict a 1-1 draw as Fiorentina have been showing signs of improvement of late. Lecce’s recent form has been poor, averaging just 0.90 points per game, with major issues in attack as they score only 0.80 goals per match and fail to score in 50% of games. At home they show slight improvement (1.00 scored), but still concede heavily (1.75). Injuries to Camarda, Gaspar, and Berisha further weaken an already struggling side, while Sottil remains doubtful.
Fiorentina travel with stronger momentum after a 1-0 win over Lazio, posting 1.70 points per game. The Viola are particularly effective away from home, averaging 1.80 points per game and scoring 1.40 goals per match. Despite defensive vulnerabilities (1.40 conceded), they offer more attacking quality than Lecce. The potential absence of Moise Kean could reduce their cutting edge, but overall squad depth remains superior.
Head-to-head meetings are fairly balanced, though generally low-scoring, with just 33% going over 2.5 goals. Given low-scoring H2H trend, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 20 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Lecce vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Roberto Piccoli @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Roberto Piccoli @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Rolando Mandragora @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lecce +0.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Lecce +1 @ -143 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -143 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - No @ -200 Odds
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View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwllll | 0.90 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwllll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.41 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwdwlww | 2.00 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.14 | 1.62 |
Lecce vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (40%)
15 Matches
Fiorentina (33%)
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