Lecce take on Genoa facing a must-win final-day showdown as they battle to avoid relegation, boosted by a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Sassuolo. As Genoa have nothing to play for in this match, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Giallorossi have been showing signs of improvement in recent weeks, but their overall form remains inconsistent, with just three wins in their last ten matches and an average of 0.9 goals scored per game. Forward Santiago Pierotti is doubtful for the decider after picking up a knock at the weekend.
Genoa travel south in far more comfortable circumstances, having already secured survival despite a four-game winless run. The visitors have been inconsistent but generally solid defensively, conceding just 1.1 goals per game across their last ten matches. However, their attacking output has been limited, scoring only 0.9 goals per game, and they may be further weakened by the absence of suspended forward Vitinha. Head-to-head history slightly favours Genoa, who have won 9 of the last 15 meetings between the sides, while Lecce have managed just one victory in that span.
Considering Lecce's stronger motivation with survival on the line, Home Win should be considered, alongside Lecce to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (both sides average under 1 goal scored per game recently).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Lecce vs Genoa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lecce 1 - 0 Genoa
Lecce vs Genoa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 450 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Walid Cheddira @ 220 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Walid Cheddira @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Ylber Ramadani @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lecce -0.5 @ -109 Odds
- European Handicap: Genoa +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lecce to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lecce to Win/Lecce to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lecce - Yes @ 100 Odds
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View OfferLecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllddwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | wldl | 1.00 |
| Away | llldww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.46 |
Genoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwwlddl | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Away | wlwdd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.32 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.05 | 1.46 |
Lecce vs Genoa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lecce (7%)
15 Matches
Genoa (60%)
Lecce vs Genoa Past Results
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