Milan will look to move one step closer towards their spot in the Champions League when they face Atalanta already assured of European football through their Coppa Italia success. As the Orobici have little to play for in Sunday's game, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Rossoneri head into this match needing a response after a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Sassuolo, a game that highlighted their inconsistency in attack. Massimiliano Allegri's men also face a defensive setback with Fikayo Tomori suspended, which could disrupt their back line.
Atalanta, meanwhile, are steady but less explosive than usual, coming off a goalless draw with Genoa. However, they remain dangerous going forward, especially away from home where the Orobici average 1.6 goals per game and show a strong 80% BTTS rate. With no fresh injuries, they have continuity in selection and tactical structure.
As motivation is on Milan's side, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside BTTS – YES, Over 2.5 goals (41% H2H).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Atalanta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 2 - 1 Atalanta
Milan vs Atalanta Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Rafael Leao @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Rafael Leao @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atalanta +1.5 @ -477 Odds
- European Handicap: Atalanta +2 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AC Milan to Win/AC Milan to Win @ 260 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AC Milan - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwllwdl | 1.30 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.21 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwwlddld | 1.00 |
| Home | lwldd | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.91 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.31 | 1.71 |
Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (38%)
34 Matches
Atalanta (32%)
Milan vs Atalanta Past Results
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