What is our Milan vs Atalanta prediction?
Milan
2 - 1
Atalanta
Our prediction for this match: Milan 2 - 1 Atalanta
Milan vs Atalanta Preview
Milan will look to move one step closer towards their spot in the Champions League when they face Atalanta already assured of European football through their Coppa Italia success. As the Orobici have little to play for in Sunday's game, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Rossoneri head into this match needing a response after a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Sassuolo, a game that highlighted their inconsistency in attack. Massimiliano Allegri's men also face a defensive setback with Fikayo Tomori suspended, which could disrupt their back line.
Atalanta, meanwhile, are steady but less explosive than usual, coming off a goalless draw with Genoa. However, they remain dangerous going forward, especially away from home where the Orobici average 1.6 goals per game and show a strong 80% BTTS rate. With no fresh injuries, they have continuity in selection and tactical structure.
As motivation is on Milan's side, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside BTTS – YES, Over 2.5 goals (41% H2H).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 10 May, 19:45UK time
Milan vs Atalanta Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreMilan 2-1 Atalanta | 800 | |
| Double Chance1X | -300 | |
| Draw No BetAC Milan | -175 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeAC Milan / AC Milan | 260 | |
| Asian HandicapAtalanta +1.5 | -477 | |
| European HandicapAtalanta +2 | -500 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -150 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -111 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Clean SheetAC Milan: No | -300 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRafael Leao | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerRafael Leao | 500 | |
| To be BookedMarten de Roon | 220 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwllwdl | 1.30 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.21 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwwlddld | 1.00 |
| Home | lwldd | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.91 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.31 | 1.71 |
Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (38%)
34 Matches
Atalanta (32%)
Milan vs Atalanta Past Results
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