Milan will look to secure their place in next season’s Champions League when they host Cagliari at San Siro in the final round of the Serie A campaign. As Cagliari head into the match with the lack of motivation, we predict a routine 3-0 home win. The Rossoneri are boosted by a 2-1 win over Genoa, while the return of Rafael Leao, Pervis Estupinan, and Alexis Saelemaekers from suspension provides a major lift. Milan have won 40% of their last 10 matches and average 2.8 total goals per game at home, although inconsistency in attack remains an issue with just 0.9 goals scored per match overall.
Cagliari, meanwhile, secured Serie A survival with a 2-1 victory over Torino and arrive with little pressure on their shoulders. However, their away form has been poor, collecting only 0.25 points per game from their last four road matches while conceding 2 goals on average. The Sardinians have also failed to win any of their recent away fixtures. History strongly favours Milan, who have won 24 of the previous 32 meetings between the sides, while Cagliari have managed just one victory in that process. Defender Joao Pedro is back from suspension for the visiting team.
Considering Milan's stronger motivation, superior squad quality, and dominant H2H record, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Milan Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Milan’s home games regularly produce chances and goals).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Cagliari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 3 - 0 Cagliari
Milan vs Cagliari Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Santiago Gimenez @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Santiago Gimenez @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Alessandro Deiola @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Cremonese -0.25 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Tie - Cagliari +3 @ 550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AC Milan to Win/AC Milan to Win @ 105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AC Milan - Yes @ -138 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwllwdllw | 1.30 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.48 | 1.11 |
Cagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwlwdlw | 1.00 |
| Home | llwwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | llld | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.21 | 1.41 |
Milan vs Cagliari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (75%)
32 Matches
Cagliari (3%)
Milan vs Cagliari Past Results
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