Milan will be aiming to return to winning ways in the Serie A when they host Lecce after a thrilling 2-2 draw with Lazio. The Rossoneri came from two goals behind to rescue a point, with Diogo Moreira scoring twice and now pushing for another start. Ruben Amorim has no fresh injury concerns. Milan have won 40% of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.70 goals per game, while BTTS landed in 80% of those fixtures. At home, they average 1.33 goals per match.
Lecce, meanwhile, will be hoping to build on a dramatic 3-2 victory over Monza, scoring three goals early in the game. The Giallorossi have won 50% of their last 10 matches but average only 1.10 goals per game and have failed to score in half of those fixtures. Willem Geubbels is a major doubt and he will be assessed ahead of the kick-off.
As Milan have an outstanding H2H record, winning 12 of 17 meetings, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Serie A matchup, alongside Over 1.5 goals (59% H2H) and Milan Over 1.5 (Lecce concede 1.30 goals per game overall, while Milan should create enough chances at home).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Milan vs Lecce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Goncalo Ramos @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Goncalo Ramos @ 275 Odds
- To be Booked: Ivan Ilic @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lecce +2.5 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Lecce +3 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AC Milan to Win/AC Milan to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AC Milan - Yes @ -138 Odds
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View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlwwwddl | 1.30 |
| Home | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwwdd | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.57 | 1.29 |
Lecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwwlwllw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | dwwlwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 0.95 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.70 |
Milan vs Lecce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (71%)
17 Matches
Lecce (0%)
Milan vs Lecce Past Results
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