What is our Milan vs Parma prediction?
Milan
1 - 0
Parma
Our prediction for this match: Milan 1 - 0 Parma
Milan vs Parma Preview
With the Scudetto race still alive, Milan enter this fixture in strong form after a 2-1 win over Pisa. As Parma continue to struggle in front of goal, especially on the road, we predict a 1-0 home win. Mexican striker Santiago Gimenez remains the only absentee, but Massimiliano Allegri’s squad depth ensures minimal disruption. Milan’s home numbers are impressive: 2.33 PPG, 67% home wins, and they concede just 0.33 goals per game at San Siro, keeping 67% clean sheets. Their expected goals at home (2.27) also reflects consistent attacking output.
Parma come into this after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Verona, climbing toward mid-table. However, fitness clouds remain over Frigan, Ndiaye, and Estevez, and Parma’s attack continues to underwhelm—scoring just 0.8 goals per game both home and away. Defensively the Gli Emiliani are competent (40% clean sheets), but they allow 1.3 goals per game overall and regularly sit deep against top sides.
Given Milan's superior form and far stronger xG/xGA, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Parma lack cutting edge.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 22 February 2026 at 17:00.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Feb, 17:00UK time
Milan vs Parma Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreMilan 1-0 Parma | 500 | |
| Double Chance12 | -600 | |
| Draw No BetAC Milan | -1000 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeAC Milan / AC Milan | -105 | |
| Asian HandicapParma +1.5 | -134 | |
| European HandicapParma +2 | -138 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreNo | -150 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsUnder 1.5 Goals | 300 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | 100 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -700 | |
| Clean SheetAC Milan: Yes | -125 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRafael Leao | 105 | |
| First GoalscorerRafael Leao | 350 | |
| To be BookedAdrien Rabiot | 110 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Milan vs Parma?
You can place your bets on Milan vs Parma at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMilan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwddwwdww | 2.10 |
| Home | wdw | 2.33 |
| Away | lwdwdww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.33 | 0.86 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 2.27 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 0.67 | 1.51 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwddllww | 1.50 |
| Home | wldlw | 1.40 |
| Away | dwdlw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.43 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.72 | 1.63 |
Milan vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Milan (62%)
21 Matches
Parma (19%)
Milan vs Parma Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Sassuolo
Lazio
Fleetwood
Arsenal
Venezia
Inter
Milan
Bologna
Man City
Brighton
Genoa
Juventus
