What is our Napoli vs AS Roma prediction?
Napoli
1 - 1
AS Roma
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 1 - 1 AS Roma
Napoli vs AS Roma Preview
All eyes will be on Stadio Diego Armando Maradona when Napoli and AS Roma go head to head in the Derby del Sole. The Neapolitans have endured an inconsistent spell, but their thrilling 4-3 Champions League victory over Bodo/Glimt should boost confidence. Napoli registered 29 attempts and 2.36 expected goals in that encounter, showing their attacking potential. They have won 60% of their recent home matches, scoring 1.80 goals per game, although defensive lapses remain a concern ahead of this challenging fixture.
Roma travel to Naples in better overall form after a 2-0 victory over Genoa, achieved without top scorer Donyell Malen in the starting lineup. The forward is now available again, providing a timely attacking boost. Paulo Dybala remains injured, while Manu Kone is a major doubt. The visitors have been particularly solid on the road, conceding just 0.25 goals per away game and keeping clean sheets in 75% of their recent away matches. That defensive resilience could prove decisive against Napoli.
Given their consistency and defensive record, Roma or Draw bet seems tempting, alongside Over 4.5 yellow cards (fierce derby) and *nder 2.5 goals (Roma conceding so rarely away from home).
This Serie A match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00.
- League
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:00UK time
Napoli vs AS Roma Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Napoli 1-1 AS Roma | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 9/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Roma +0.5 | 19/40 | |
| European Handicap: Napoli +1 | 4/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Donyell Malen | 6/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Donyell Malen | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Marten de Roon | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Napoli Clean Sheet: No | 1/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllwdwllw | 1.30 |
| Home | llwww | 1.80 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.58 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.86 | 1.69 |
AS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwddlww | 2.10 |
| Home | wwdlww | 2.17 |
| Away | wdwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.83 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.17 | 0.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.01 | 2.36 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
Napoli vs AS Roma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Napoli (42%)
38 Matches
AS Roma (32%)
Napoli vs AS Roma Past Results
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