What is our Napoli vs Milan prediction?
Napoli
2 - 2
Milan
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 2 - 2 Milan
Napoli vs Milan Preview
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona hosts a high-stakes Serie A derby as Napoli welcome Milan in a clash that could shape the Scudetto race. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, we predict a 2-2 draw. Antonio Conte's men look sharper with Kevin De Bruyne and Zambo Anguissa back from injuries, and the momentum from their 1-0 win over Cagliari should boost confidence. The Partenopei have scored in 100% of their recent home matches, averaging 1.83 goals per game at the Maradona, but defensive concerns remain with just 10% clean sheets in their last 10 outings.
Milan, on the other hand, travel to Naples after a dramatic 3-2 win over Torino, but doubts over Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Rafael Leao could impact their attacking fluidity. Even so, the Rossoneri show strong balance, conceding only 0.70 goals per match across their last 10, with 40% clean sheets. Massimiliano Allegri's men also maintain a consistent 60% win rate both home and away. Historically, the matchup leans toward goals, with 74% of H2H games hitting Over 1.5.
Napoli’s attacking rhythm versus Milan’s structured defense sets up a tight, high-quality encounter. Supported by both sides averaging 3+ total match goals recently. we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Draw (small stake).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday, 6 April 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Mon 6 Apr, 19:45UK time
Napoli vs Milan Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreNapoli 2-2 Milan | 1400 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -188 | |
| Draw No BetNapoli | -138 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 350 | |
| Asian HandicapNapoli +0.5 | -308 | |
| European HandicapNapoli +1 | -300 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -106 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 137 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 333 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1600 | |
| Clean SheetNapoli: No | -225 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerGiovane Nascimento | 260 | |
| First GoalscorerNo Goalscorer | 600 | |
| To be BookedStrahinja Pavlovic | 175 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwddlwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | lwddww | 1.83 |
| Away | wlww | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
Milan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwdlwwlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.68 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.16 | 1.32 |
Napoli vs Milan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Napoli (38%)
39 Matches
Milan (28%)
Napoli vs Milan Past Results
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